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Admin123 : Admin - Sapphire Capitals
Date : 2022-04-03

Stock of Interest - Week 14 - USA - SEASONALITY

The week beginning Monday, the 4^th April is Week 14 as per ISO numbering convention of the weeks of a year.

Country in focus:

This week we look at the Stocks from USA in S&P500 index.

Stock/ETF in focus:

Specific Stock in focus is Amazon.com, Inc. (Ticker: AMZN).

Trade Direction:

BULLISH, 20 years Seasonality with 80% probability of success in a BUY (LONG) trade.

Overview:

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products and subscriptions in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It sells merchandise and content purchased for resale from third-party sellers through physical and online stores. The company also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablets, Fire TVs, Rings, and Echo and other devices; provides Kindle Direct Publishing, an online service that allows independent authors and publishers to make their books available in the Kindle Store; and develops and produces media content. In addition, it offers programs that enable sellers to sell their products on its websites, as well as its stores; and programs that allow authors, musicians, filmmakers, Twitch streamers, skill and app developers, and others to publish and sell content. Further, the company provides compute, storage, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services, as well as fulfillment, advertising, publishing, and digital content subscriptions. Additionally, it offers Amazon Prime, a membership program, which provides free shipping of various items; access to streaming of movies and series; and other services. The company serves consumers, sellers, developers, enterprises, and content creators. Amazon.com, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.

Fundamentals:

52 Week Range 2,671.45 - 3,773.08

Volume 2,854,475

Avg. Volume 3,888,444

Market Cap 1.665T

PE Ratio (TTM) 50.47

EPS (TTM) 64.81

1y Target Est 4,073.96

Current trading price:

As of Friday close, the stock was trading at 3,271.20.

SEASONALITY:

The stock demonstrated strong seasonal move in week 14 of the year, here are some of the details of its seasonal behaviour:

In 18 out of last 20 years in week 14, the stock was bullish with average move up of 18.79% and average move down of 4.58% for an average holding time of 37 days.
If 100 stocks were bought in the beginning of week 14 every year for last 20 years, then a trader would have had a Gross Profit of $160,112, Gross Loss of $6,688, making a Total Net Profit of $153,424.
In those 20 years, the Largest Win was $57,717, Largest Loss is $2,985, the Average profit/trade being $7,671.
The average Reward-Risk Ratio (RRR) in those trades were about 24:1.

Charts:

Summary report extract:

Trade Performance (Single Stock/ETF/Index, non-leveraged): 2012-2021:

Histogram:

Latest event candlestick chart:

Further Information about trading applications:

Please visit the following URL for more information on various trading applications from Sapphire Capitals which are designed to deliver high probability trading opportunities for swing trading as well as for intraday trading:

Disclaimer:

Sapphire Private Assets (ABN: 34 613 892 023, trading as Sapphire Capitals) is not a broker or a financial adviser but an education and research organisation; we provide training and tools for traders and DIY fund managers for trading in global financial markets. The contents of the blog have been produced by using technical analysis and trading applications developed by Sapphire Capitals for the Stock and ETF traded worldwide. The contents of this blog are intended for education and research purposes only and is not a recommendation or solicitation to invest in any Stock or ETF.

For more details, please visit www.sapphirecapitals.com/Disclaimer.